Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 2.010153 2.097653 2.187936 2.288281 2.396965 2.511438 2.641524
2025-12-07 1.840649 1.963574 2.095493 2.248473 2.422127 2.614514 2.845743
2025-12-14 1.703046 1.845060 2.001786 2.189281 2.409827 2.664080 2.984056
2025-12-21 1.632091 1.791754 1.972285 2.194319 2.464121 2.787039 3.212130
2025-12-28 1.588908 1.764893 1.968238 2.224735 2.546046 2.944768 3.493802
2026-01-04 1.520641 1.703179 1.917397 2.192639 2.545339 2.995270 3.637205
2026-01-11 1.481727 1.673553 1.902245 2.201718 2.594699 3.111083 3.877286
2026-01-18 1.454721 1.656272 1.900232 2.225688 2.663006 3.255272 4.171104
2026-01-25 1.412649 1.618028 1.869474 2.209698 2.675322 3.321164 4.353975
2026-02-01 1.365952 1.571896 1.826307 2.174438 2.657975 3.341910 4.466914
2026-02-08 1.306371 1.507402 1.757037 2.100879 2.582624 3.272001 4.425482
2026-02-15 1.268948 1.469818 1.721095 2.070444 2.566051 3.287351 4.525051
2026-02-22 1.240155 1.444550 1.703027 2.067425 2.594198 3.380983 4.785617
2026-03-01 1.204756 1.409864 1.671601 2.044944 2.593386 3.431200 4.980913
2026-03-08 1.162362 1.364720 1.624605 1.998418 2.553937 3.416653 5.055352
2026-03-15 1.142288 1.348047 1.614969 2.004017 2.592991 3.532526 5.398192
2026-03-22 1.131105 1.342541 1.619949 2.030417 2.665277 3.710628 5.902729
2026-03-29 1.101961 1.312047 1.589396 2.003203 2.650938 3.736924 6.088517
2026-04-05 1.086505 1.299390 1.582916 2.011010 2.692836 3.866800 6.535941
2026-04-12 1.076145 1.293186 1.585025 2.031473 2.756398 4.042912 7.141822
2026-04-19 1.055445 1.272199 1.565443 2.017846 2.761778 4.108914 7.486062
2026-04-26 1.030620 1.244890 1.535999 1.987743 2.737169 4.113743 7.666183
2026-05-03 0.996613 1.204202 1.486417 1.924757 2.652940 3.993472 7.468786